Moody's or S&P downgrades France by...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Moody's Ratings or S&P Global Ratings publishes a rating action lowering its long-term sovereign credit rating for the Republic of France, at any point between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying downgra…
As of 27 de octubre de 2026, "October 31" leads at 3% implied probability (-0.3pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "November 30", from 76% to 81%. The event has traded $21.6K in total ($1.1K in the last 24h) with $2.5K of liquidity across 2 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 de diciembre de 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
2 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.