Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any Gemi…
As of 27 de octubre de 2026, "1490+" leads at 24% implied probability (-0.6pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "1470+", from 34% to 24%. The event has traded $328.5K in total ($7.1K in the last 24h) with $16.7K of liquidity across 6 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 de enero de 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
6 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.