Next leader out of power before 2027?
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporar…
As of 27 de octubre de 2026, "Netanyahu - Israel PM" leads at 39% implied probability (+6.5pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "Sánchez - Spanish PM", from 93% to 96%. The event has traded $1.8M in total ($246.9K in the last 24h) with $650.0K of liquidity across 22 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 de enero de 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
22 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.