Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, sp…
As of 27 de octubre de 2026, "No release by October 31" leads at 85% implied probability (-7.5pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $64.7K in total ($5.8K in the last 24h) with $7.1K of liquidity across 32 markets. Trading is due to close on 31 de octubre de 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
32 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.