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October 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for October 2026 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for October 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure f…

As of 27 de octubre de 2026, ">1.49ºC" leads at 43% implied probability. The event has traded $3.8K in total ($424 in the last 24h) with $3.7K of liquidity across 6 markets. Trading is due to close on 2 de diciembre de 2026.

24h volume
$424
Total volume
$3.8K
Liquidity
$3.7K
Markets
6
2 dic 2026
WeatherclimateRecurringGlobal Temptemperature

Chart, demo trading & order book

Market>1.49ºC
Yes42.5¢
24h Chg—
Mkt Vol$1.9K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

6 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.