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Sciencecloses in 5d

When will the Rhine River return to normal levels?

This market will resolve according to the date (Berlin time) when the water level at the Kaub gauge (station 25700100) on the Rhine River first reaches or exceeds 77 centimeters, as reported by the German Federal Waterways and Shipping Administration (WSV) via PegelOnline. A reading of 77 centimeters or higher is the …

As of 27 de octubre de 2026, "October 1 - 31, 2026" leads at 15% implied probability (-58.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "No return before November 1, 2026", from 26% to 83%. The event has traded $178.5K in total ($3.7K in the last 24h) with $9.3K of liquidity across 4 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 de noviembre de 2026.

24h volume
$3.7K
Total volume
$178.5K
Liquidity
$9.3K
Markets
4
1 nov 2026
EuropeDroughtGermanyWeatherClimate & ScienceNatural Disasters

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketOctober 1 - 31, 2026
Yes15.0¢
24h Chg-58.0pp
Mkt Vol$80.8K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Markets and probabilities

4 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

When will the Rhine River return to normal levels? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker