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Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of ht…

As of 27 de octubre de 2026, "Anthropic" leads at 54% implied probability (+1.0pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $3.2M in total ($161.5K in the last 24h) with $1.3M of liquidity across 26 markets. Trading is due to close on 31 de diciembre de 2026.

24h volume
$161.5K
Total volume
$3.2M
Liquidity
$1.3M
Markets
26
31 dic 2026
TechAIGrokOpenAIAnthropicAI RankingsRecurringClaude OpusGPT Releases

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketAnthropic
Yes53.5¢
24h Chg+1.0pp
Mkt Vol$433.7K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

26 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Which company has best AI model end of 2026? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker