0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by..?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait for any single date from market creation to the specified date, according to IMF PortWatch, is 0. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily figures are the total transit calls by container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll…
As of 14 November 2026, "January 31, 2027" leads at 14% implied probability. The event has traded $0 in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $161 of liquidity across 2 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 April 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
2 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.