Politics
Politics markets
1683 active events·$30.4M · 24h vol·$344.8M liquidity
Active events
1,683
24h volume
$30.4M
Liquidity
$344.8M
Switch category
Trending in Politics
top 6 · 24hPolitics closed
Fed Decision in July?
No change
79%
25 bps increase
21%
50+ bps increase
0%
$14.9M · 24h5 mkts
Politics closed
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Abiy Ahmed
95%
Alesa Mengesha
2%
Gedion Timothewos
1%
$2.5M · 24h33 mkts
Politics⏱ 27mo
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
20%
Marco Rubio
12%
Gavin Newsom
12%
$1.4M · 24h128 mkts
Politics⏱ 1mo
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
August 31
62%
August 14
52%
July 31
41%
$1.1M · 24h5 mkts
Politics⏱ 1mo
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by...?
July 31
100%
August 31
100%
August 15
100%
$893.4K · 24h6 mkts
Politics⏱ 1d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No
100%
Yes
0%
$719.2K · 24h1 mkts
More markets
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
July 25 · 16 mkts
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?
No · 2 mkts
Elon Musk # tweets July 24 - July 31, 2026?
220-239 · 26 mkts
Elon Musk # tweets July 27 - July 29, 2026?
40-64 · 10 mkts
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom · 128 mkts
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
August 31 · 8 mkts
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · 1 mkts
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
December 31 · 9 mkts
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen · 128 mkts
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
December 31 · 10 mkts
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. · 128 mkts
Brazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva · 32 mkts
Fed Decision in September?
25 bps increase · 5 mkts
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Somaliland · 12 mkts
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro · 57 mkts
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 31 · 7 mkts
Elon Musk # tweets July 28 - August 4, 2026?
160-179 · 26 mkts
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No · 1 mkts
Iran leadership change by...?
June 30, 2027 · 10 mkts
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
No · 1 mkts
Israel closes its airspace by...?
August 31 · 18 mkts
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes · 1 mkts
Will Iran target Ukraine by...?
No · 2 mkts
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 2027 · 5 mkts
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot · 28 mkts
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
No · 1 mkts
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
No · 2 mkts
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
August 31 · 8 mkts
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party · 9 mkts
Iran military action against a gulf state on...?
July 9 · 23 mkts
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 20?
50-74 · 5 mkts
What will Trump say during Cabinet Meeting?
Venezuela · 21 mkts
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 31 · 7 mkts
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 15 · 8 mkts
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Abdul El-Sayed · 20 mkts
Elon Musk # tweets July 31 - August 7, 2026?
200-219 · 26 mkts
What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?
Productivity · 37 mkts
Trump out as President by July 31?
No · 1 mkts
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 31 · 7 mkts
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
40+ · 7 mkts