Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following groups of parties wins a combined total of 61 seats or more in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election: (a) The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu; or (b) Li…
As of 16 October 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 18% implied probability (-4.5pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "No", from 78% to 82%. The event has traded $3.5K in total ($222 in the last 24h) with $2.3K of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 28 October 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
1 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.