Israeli Legislative Election Winner
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 1…
As of 27 October 2026, "Likud" leads at 28% implied probability (-1.5pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "Yashar", from 71% to 73%. The event has traded $4.9M in total ($1.6M in the last 24h) with $1.3M of liquidity across 39 markets. Trading is due to close on 28 October 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
39 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.