Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to…
As of 19 October 2026, "Benjamin Netanyahu" leads at 33% implied probability. The event has traded $2.3K in total ($2.3K in the last 24h) with $70.4K of liquidity across 100 markets. Trading is due to close on 28 October 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
100 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.