Fed Decision in October?
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate …
As of 12 September 2026, "25 bps decrease" leads at 1% implied probability (-1.1pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "25 bps increase", from 68% to 63%. The event has traded $1.8M in total ($216.6K in the last 24h) with $916.7K of liquidity across 5 markets. Trading is due to close on 28 October 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
5 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.