US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, terminati…
As of 28 October 2026, "October 31" leads at 2% implied probability (-1.9pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "November 15", from 85% to 91%. The event has traded $43.4M in total ($288.6K in the last 24h) with $464.3K of liquidity across 24 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
24 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.