Politicscloses in 2d
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to 0 for any date between June 26 and the specified date, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No." Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, gen…
24h volume
$12.8K
Total volume
$465.8K
Liquidity
$22.9K
Markets
4
31 Jul 2026
IrancloseshipsGeopoliticsStrait of HormuzOil
Probability over time
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Holders and activity
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Markets and probabilities
4 marketsHow to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.