#2 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderbo…
As of 16 October 2026, "Anthropic" leads at 34% implied probability (+5.4pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "Meta", from 38% to 34%. The event has traded $18.5K in total ($220 in the last 24h) with $7.5K of liquidity across 35 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
35 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.