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2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for July 2026 versus the data points available for all other Julys on record. Note: If July 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with. The primary resolution s…

24h volume
$12.2K
Total volume
$130.7K
Liquidity
$7.5K
Markets
4
31 Jul 2026
ScienceWeatherGlobal Temp

Probability over time

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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

4 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker