2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026. For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference…
As of 12 September 2026, "Republicans 2-4%" leads at 3% implied probability (+0.8pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "Democrats 10-12%", from 78% to 81%. The event has traded $133.1K in total ($1.1K in the last 24h) with $202.0K of liquidity across 14 markets. Trading is due to close on 3 November 2026.
Chart, demo trading & order book
Test this market with $10,000 virtual funds
Free account: paper trade on the real order book, follow whale moves, stack airdrop points.
Start freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
14 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.