Politicscloses in 3mo
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026. For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference…
24h volume
$643
Total volume
$112.3K
Liquidity
$225.3K
Markets
14
3 Nov 2026
democratsMidtermsCongressElectionshouse of representativesrepublicansUS ElectionPoliticsmovrewards 200, 4.5, 20 Deprec
Probability over time
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Holders and activity
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Markets and probabilities
14 marketsHow to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.