2026 Taipei Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory
The 2026 Taipei mayoral election is scheduled to take place on November 28, 2026, to elect the next mayor of Taipei. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute …
As of 12 November 2026, "Chiang Wan-an <4%" leads at 50% implied probability. The event has traded $0 in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $275 of liquidity across 8 markets. Trading is due to close on 29 November 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
8 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.