3rd largest private company end of October?
This market will resolve to the listed company with the third largest private market valuation on the last trading day of October 2026. NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates i…
As of 16 October 2026, "ByteDance" leads at 94% implied probability (+2.5pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $14.3K in total ($65 in the last 24h) with $49.0K of liquidity across 10 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 November 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
10 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.