7-day average ship traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on December 31?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait for December 31, 2026, according to IMF PortWatch, is at least the number specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. IMF PortWatch typically publishes a rounded 7-day moving average…
As of 14 November 2026, "22+" leads at 50% implied probability. The event has traded $0 in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $35 of liquidity across 6 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
6 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.