7-day average ship traffic through the Malacca Strait on December 31?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Malacca Strait for December 31, 2026, according to IMF PortWatch, is at least the number specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. IMF PortWatch typically publishes a rounded 7-day moving average in th…
As of 15 November 2026, "180+" leads at 89% implied probability. The event has traded $635 in total ($635 in the last 24h) with $1.5K of liquidity across 6 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
6 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.