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Politicscloses in 6d

Abbas Araghchi arrested by September 28?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abbas Araghchi is arrested between market creation and September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest occurs when Araghchi is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntar…

As of 22 September 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 6% implied probability. The event has traded $0 in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $8.1K of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 29 September 2026.

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$0
Liquidity
$8.1K
Markets
1
29 Sept 2026
IranAraghchiGeopoliticsU.S. x Iran

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketAbbas Araghchi arrested by September 28?
Yes6.0¢
24h Chg
Mkt Vol$0
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Abbas Araghchi arrested by September 28? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker