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Politicscloses in 19d

Abdul El-Sayed runs behind Jocelyn Benson by...?

The 2026 Michigan general election is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. Abdul El-Sayed is the Democratic nominee for United States Senate in Michigan, and Jocelyn Benson is the Democratic nominee for Governor of Michigan. This market will resolve based on how many percentage points Abdul El-Sayed’s vote share …

As of 16 October 2026, "0-3 points behind" leads at 32% implied probability (+9.5pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $272 in total ($40 in the last 24h) with $5.1K of liquidity across 5 markets. Trading is due to close on 4 November 2026.

24h volume
$40
Total volume
$272
Liquidity
$5.1K
Markets
5
4 Nov 2026
SenatemidtermPoliticsmichiganAbdul El-SayedJocelyn BensonMargin of Victory

Chart, demo trading & order book

Market0-3 points behind
Yes32.0¢
24h Chg+9.5pp
Mkt Vol$102
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

5 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Abdul El-Sayed runs behind Jocelyn Benson by...? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker