AI artwork hits $10M at major auction in 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a single AI artwork sells for $10,000,000 or more at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "major auction house" is restricted to Christie's, Sotheby's, Phill…
As of 5 September 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 14% implied probability (-37.5pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "No", from 49% to 87%. The event has traded $110 in total ($102 in the last 24h) with $280 of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 31 December 2026.
Probability over time
Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
1 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.