AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
Outcome: Yes. This is how the market settled on Polymarket.
Settled 2 Sept 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state-of-the-art (SOTA) AI model achieves a score of 90% or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI however a consensus of credible reporting may…
This market settled on 2 September 2026. Over its lifetime it traded $134.2K across 1 Polymarket market.
Probability over time
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Markets and probabilities
1 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.