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AL-06 House Election Margin of Victory

The 2026 AL-06 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the…

As of 8 September 2026, "Republican 0-10%" leads at 3% implied probability. The event has traded $6.3K in total ($5.3K in the last 24h) with $74.1K of liquidity across 13 markets. Trading is due to close on 3 November 2026.

24h volume
$5.3K
Total volume
$6.3K
Liquidity
$74.1K
Markets
13
3 Nov 2026
MidtermsPoliticsElectionsMidterm MOVAlabama MidtermHouse ElectionsMargin of Victory

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketRepublican 0-10%
Yes3.0¢
24h Chg
Mkt Vol$2.7K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

13 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

AL-06 House Election Margin of Victory — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker