Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
The first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the specified election. The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the pe…
As of 18 September 2026, "Sullivan 12+%" leads at 42% implied probability. The event has traded $0 in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $393 of liquidity across 12 markets. Trading is due to close on 3 November 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
12 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.