Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cloudflare experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.…
As of 12 September 2026, "August 31" leads at 3% implied probability (-5.7pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "September 30", from 28% to 37%. The event has traded $67.9K in total ($1.1K in the last 24h) with $2.1K of liquidity across 4 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 October 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
4 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.