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Cryptocloses in 2mo

Another crypto hack over $100M by ___?

This is a market on whether any crypto project or exchange suffers an exploit or hack of value at least $100 million USD equivalent between the creation of this market and 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Decentralized exchanges and lending protocol hacks wil…

As of 16 October 2026, "December 31" leads at 39% implied probability (-8.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "October 31", from 91% to 86%. The event has traded $3.6K in total ($517 in the last 24h) with $1.8K of liquidity across 2 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.

24h volume
$517
Total volume
$3.6K
Liquidity
$1.8K
Markets
2
1 Jan 2027
hackCryptoprotocol-risk

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketDecember 31
Yes38.5¢
24h Chg-8.0pp
Mkt Vol$1.8K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

2 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.