Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by...?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiri…
As of 16 October 2026, "October 31" leads at 20% implied probability (+8.0pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $48.2K in total ($9 in the last 24h) with $10.9K of liquidity across 3 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 November 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
3 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.