Techcloses in 5mo
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?
This market will resolve to "OpenAI + Anthropic" if the combined private market valuation of Anthropic and OpenAI is larger than Microsoft's market capitalization on December 31, 2026, or to "Microsoft" if Microsoft's market capitalization exceeds that combined valuation. NPM Prices are published for trading days only…
24h volume
$125
Total volume
$6.0K
Liquidity
$3.7K
Markets
1
1 Jan 2027
FinancePrivatesDario AmodeiAIBig TechchatgptllmOpenAIsam altmanAnthropic
Probability over time
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Holders and activity
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Markets and probabilities
1 marketsHow to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.