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Techcloses in 5mo

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

This market will resolve to the listed company with the larger private market valuation, as measured by the final NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM), for December 31, 2026. NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM…

24h volume
$50
Total volume
$43.2K
Liquidity
$7.6K
Markets
1
1 Jan 2027
FinancePrivatesOpenAIClaudellmAnthropicAIBig TechAnthropic IPO

Probability over time

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Markets and probabilities

1 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.