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Any member-elect blocked from being sworn in on Jan 3, 2027?

The 120th United States Congress is scheduled to convene on January 3, 2027. On each chamber's opening day, the members-elect of the House of Representatives and the newly elected members of the Senate are expected to take the oath of office. This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on the day a chamber swears in its mem…

As of 5 November 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 50% implied probability. The event has traded $0 in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $9 of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 4 January 2027.

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$0
Liquidity
$9
Markets
1
4 Jan 2027
houseSenateCongressMidtermsPoliticsUS Politics

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketAny member-elect blocked from being sworn in?
Yes50.0¢
24h Chg—
Mkt Vol$0
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Markets and probabilities

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How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Any member-elect blocked from being sworn in on Jan 3, 2027? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker