AP calls the House by...?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Associated Press has, by the specified date and time (ET), called control of the United States House of Representatives for the Congress that will convene following the midterm elections. Otherwise it will resolve to “No”. Control of the House of Representatives will be conside…
As of 16 October 2026, "November 4, 11:59 PM" leads at 84% implied probability (+5.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "November 6, 11:59 PM", from 13% to 8%. The event has traded $4.4K in total ($451 in the last 24h) with $45.5K of liquidity across 6 markets. Trading is due to close on 4 January 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
6 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.