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AP calls the Senate by...?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Associated Press calls control of the United States Senate for the Congress that will convene following the 2026 midterm elections by the specified date and time (ET). Otherwise it will resolve to “No”. Only calls that Senate control has been determined will qualify. Individual…

As of 21 October 2026, "December 2, 11:59 PM" leads at 87% implied probability. The event has traded $100 in total ($100 in the last 24h) with $669 of liquidity across 10 markets. Trading is due to close on 5 January 2027.

24h volume
$100
Total volume
$100
Liquidity
$669
Markets
10
5 Jan 2027
SenatemidtermPoliticsUS Election

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketDecember 2, 11:59 PM
Yes87.0¢
24h Chg—
Mkt Vol$240
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

AP calls the Senate by...? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker