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Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of August?

Market resolved

Outcome: <25. This is how the market settled on Polymarket.

Settled 9 Sept 2026

This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait that IMF Portwatch reports for August 31, 2026. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not b…

This market settled on 9 September 2026. Over its lifetime it traded $51.7K across 5 Polymarket markets.

24h volume
$12.6K
Total volume
$51.7K
Liquidity
$63.2K
Markets
5
31 Aug 2026
OilIranHormuzHouthisGeopoliticsBab el-MandebStrait of Hormuz

Probability over time

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The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.