Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of July?
Outcome: 28-30. This is how the market settled on Polymarket.
Settled 5 Aug 2026
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait that IMF Portwatch reports for July 31, 2026. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be …
This market settled on 5 August 2026. Over its lifetime it traded $25.3K across 7 Polymarket markets.
Probability over time
Holders and activity
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7 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.