Politicscloses in 2d
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?
This market will resolve according to the finalized 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for July 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Transit calls include c…
24h volume
$15.2K
Total volume
$293.6K
Liquidity
$250.4K
Markets
5
31 Jul 2026
OilIranHormuzGeopoliticsStrait of Hormuz
Probability over time
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Holders and activity
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Markets and probabilities
5 marketsHow to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.