Politics● closed
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as IMF…
24h volume
$193.8K
Total volume
$8.6M
Liquidity
$340.8K
Markets
10
30 Jun 2026
PoliticshouthiIrantrafficStrait of HormuzOilGeopoliticsRegional Spillovershippingred seacape of good hopeHouthis
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Markets and probabilities
10 marketsHow to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.