Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve "No." If more than 5 players tie for the top 5 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA)…
As of 22 September 2026, "Lionel Messi" leads at 38% implied probability (+0.5pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "Declan Rice", from 10% to 21%. The event has traded $65.0K in total ($515 in the last 24h) with $31.7K of liquidity across 31 markets. Trading is due to close on 26 October 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
31 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.