Bank of Japan Decision in December?
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the uncollateralized overnight call rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Bank of Japan’s Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Japan, inclu…
As of 3 November 2026, "25 bps increase" leads at 85% implied probability (+6.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "No change", from 20% to 13%. The event has traded $31.6K in total ($859 in the last 24h) with $19.9K of liquidity across 5 markets. Trading is due to close on 18 December 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
5 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.