Berlin State Election: 3rd Place
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If vot…
As of 12 September 2026, "CDU" leads at 23% implied probability (+2.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "AfD", from 47% to 38%. The event has traded $32.0K in total ($94 in the last 24h) with $68.1K of liquidity across 24 markets. Trading is due to close on 20 September 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
24 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.