Best AI model on October 26?
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leader…
As of 16 October 2026, "gemini-4-argon-high" leads at 79% implied probability (+3.0pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $4.9K in total ($126 in the last 24h) with $4.4K of liquidity across 4 markets. Trading is due to close on 27 October 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
4 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.