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Techcloses in 18d

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Chinese Companies include but are not limited to …

As of 12 September 2026, "Alibaba" leads at 74% implied probability (-3.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "Moonshot", from 16% to 12%. The event has traded $339.7K in total ($24.4K in the last 24h) with $71.2K of liquidity across 25 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 October 2026.

24h volume
$24.4K
Total volume
$339.7K
Liquidity
$71.2K
Markets
25
1 Oct 2026
AITechChinaAI RankingsMoonshot

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketAlibaba
Yes74.0¢
24h Chg-3.0pp
Mkt Vol$86.9K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

25 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Best Chinese AI Company end of September? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker