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Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/ This market will resolv…

As of 30 October 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 23% implied probability. The event has traded $4.5M in total ($171.0K in the last 24h) with $101.4K of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 4 November 2026.

24h volume
$171.0K
Total volume
$4.5M
Liquidity
$101.4K
Markets
1
4 Nov 2026
Taxesreferendumreferendums midtermsFiscalPoliticsElectionsBallot Measures

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Yes22.5¢
24h Chg+0.0pp
Mkt Vol$4.5M
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Markets and probabilities

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How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker