Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728?
This market will resolve according to the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment that occurs at the specified block height. Block 973,728 is the next difficulty retarget height and is currently expected to be reached on or around October 30, 2026 (ET). If the displayed percentage falls exactly on the boundary between two brack…
As of 17 October 2026, "Down >7%" leads at 50% implied probability. The event has traded $0 in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $6 of liquidity across 6 markets. Trading is due to close on 2 November 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
6 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.