Brazil declares emergency rule in Brasília by January 31, 2027?
Brazil held its presidential runoff on October 25, 2026. After the previous election, President Lula decreed a federal intervention in the Federal District's public security following the January 8, 2023 attacks in Brasília. (see: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/8_January_Bras%C3%ADlia_attacks) This market will resolve …
As of 27 October 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 27% implied probability. The event has traded $0 in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $75 of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 1 February 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
1 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.