Brazil Presidential Election
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Ot…
As of 12 September 2026, "Tarcisio de Freitas" leads at 0% implied probability. The biggest 24h move is "Flávio Bolsonaro", from 53% to 47%. The event has traded $148.7M in total ($1.1M in the last 24h) with $17.0M of liquidity across 32 markets. Trading is due to close on 4 October 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
32 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.