Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified…
As of 12 September 2026, "Renan Santos" leads at 2% implied probability (-0.2pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva", from 74% to 80%. The event has traded $6.9M in total ($52.1K in the last 24h) with $1.9M of liquidity across 32 markets. Trading is due to close on 4 October 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
32 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.